Scenario Planning
Scoping:
What do you want to address?
Test/challenge existing ideas
Ask key people in organisation
Workshop
Focus group
Survey
Build Scenarios
Identify main driving forces
There will be counter forces
Wildcard
90% confidence range
Rule of thumb:
10 years out should exhibit the variance of 4 decades
What do you want to know about the future?
Example: Robotics Zone of Uncertainty
A wide uncertainty zone will include a good deal of opportunities
Future of work is human?
CIPD
Welfare of people
Organisations that maximise human potential will thrive
Stress
Mental health
Diversity
Inclusion
Skills missmatch
Vocations
Working hours
Trust
Gig economy
Tech enabled
Demographic issues
Need new ideas!
How Do You Predict?
Historical trends?
Nationalism
Internationalism
Nationalism
End of history?
Fukuyama
CIPD Article
What is Good Work?
Technology trends
Robotization and AI
Creativity, innovation and entrepreneurship in the workforce
Contingent workforce, gig economy & the psychological contract
Business ethics
Agile & remote working, virtual teams
Strategic HRM
IoT
Mass customisation
Production tech
Disruptive innovation
Cordant
U Of London
Unions
Pfeffer's 7 Practices
Scrum Team
People
centred
strategies
Hitting the wall
in HR measurement
W1 FOWM
Key Trends
Freeman vs Friedman
Life is a simulation?
Reprogram the sim: Work towards a goal!
Make the future.
Cynefin Framework
(Dealing with complexity)
A keynote speech by Peter Cheese on the future of work.
LINK
Stakeholders vs Shareholders
Identifying Employees for
Re-Skilling using an
Analytics-Based Approach
Ramamurthy et al
Skyhive
Ingenuity
Empathy
Change resilience
Automation
Re-skilling
Workforce Planning
Shying away
from workforce planning
Business
Start small
Build data
and
analysis
Succession planning
Change
This session outlines the themes, trends and issues in the current context of work and management. It involves starting to look at the problems involved, and works towards providing solutions to improve work management and HR into the future.
Workforce planning
involves assessing the difference between talent demand/supply and the difference between talent needs in present/future
Map of Ethical Thought
A Political Map
Map taken from World Values Survey
Diverse Points of View
(Other People's Views)
These diagrams are presented to offer a diverse points of view and thought to help overcome cognitive biases.
They may help with enhancing diversity and inclusion.
Babsons Framework of
Ethical Decision Making
Here is a useful ethical brainstorming method that allows you to dip into a range of useful ethical philosophies in order to make better and more informed ethical choices